Francavilla vs Martina Franca: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, Francavilla in Sinni
The Footlab model makes Martina Franca the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Francavilla. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Francavilla vs Martina Franca?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Francavilla (1,719) and Martina Franca (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Francavilla have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Martina Franca have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Afragolese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sarnese(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Real Acerrana(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 10, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 3, 2026 | Nola 1925(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Heraclea(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Città di Fasano(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Francavilla win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Martina Franca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Francavilla 1-2 Martina Franca | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Francavilla 1-1 Martina Franca | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Martina Franca 1-0 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Martina Franca 4-0 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Francavilla 1-2 Martina Franca | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 7, 2023 | Francavilla 3-3 Martina Franca | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Francavilla vs Martina Franca on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Francavilla score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Martina Franca score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francavilla | 1.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Martina Franca | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Francavilla sit 11th in Serie D - Girone H (43 points from 34 matches) and Martina Franca sit 2nd (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Martina Franca | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47 | 30 | 62 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Francavilla vs Martina Franca?
- The Footlab model makes Martina Franca the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Francavilla.
- Where and when is Francavilla vs Martina Franca played?
- Francavilla vs Martina Franca is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.