Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 23Kick-off on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana
The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Gravina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Virtus Francavilla wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,869 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Virtus Francavilla (1,763) and Gravina (1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Virtus Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Virtus Francavilla lineup.
Gravina
Not enough data to predict the Gravina lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 08:04 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Francavilla have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Gravina have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Forio 2014(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Gravina(home) | 3-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gravina(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Virtus Francavilla wins, 2 draws, 2 Gravina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla 3-0 Gravina | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Gravina 4-2 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla 0-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Gravina 0-0 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Virtus Francavilla 1-1 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Gravina 0-1 Virtus Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina on Oct 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Francavilla score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gravina score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Francavilla | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Gravina | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Francavilla sit 1st in Serie D - Girone H (18 points from 8 matches) and Gravina sit 7th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Virtus Francavilla | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Gravina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 13 |
A question about Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Virtus Francavilla the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Gravina.
- Where and when is Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina played?
- Virtus Francavilla vs Gravina is played on February 7, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.