Francavilla vs Melfi: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 21Kick-off on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, Francavilla in Sinni
The Footlab AI model makes Francavilla the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Melfi. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Francavilla vs Melfi?
On Elo ratings, Francavilla has 1,612 points and Melfi 1,517.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Francavilla vs Melfi
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Francavilla
Not enough data to predict the Francavilla lineup.
Melfi
4-3-3- 7Davide Lodesani
- 18Alessandro De Vena
- 20Gianluca De Angelis
- 29Bruno Leonardo Vicente
- 17A. Esposito
- 24A. Gammone
- 5G. Laezza
- 15M. Russu
- 13L. Libutti
- 9C. Foggia
- 1R. Gragnaniello
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Francavilla have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Melfi have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gladiator(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brindisi(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melfi(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | USD Palmese(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ischia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Nocerina(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ebolitana(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Francavilla wins, 0 draws, 1 Melfi win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Melfi 2-1 Francavilla | Serie D - Girone H |
How many goals should we expect?
Francavilla score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Melfi score 0.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francavilla | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Melfi | 0.6 | 1.3 | 3 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Francavilla sit 17th in Serie D - Girone H (4 points from 7 matches) and Melfi sit 18th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Francavilla | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | Melfi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Francavilla vs Melfi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Francavilla vs Melfi?
- The Footlab AI model makes Francavilla the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Melfi.
- Where and when is Francavilla vs Melfi played?
- Francavilla vs Melfi is played on January 24, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nunzio Fittipaldi, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.