Melfi vs Ebolitana: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 22Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Arturo Valerio, Melfi
The Footlab model makes Melfi the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Ebolitana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Melfi vs Ebolitana?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Melfi have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ebolitana have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2017 | Matera(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 30, 2017 | Foggia(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 23, 2017 | Taranto(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 15, 2017 | Messina(away) | 4-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 9, 2017 | Monopoli(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Melfi vs Ebolitana?
- The Footlab model makes Melfi the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Ebolitana.
- Where and when is Melfi vs Ebolitana played?
- Melfi vs Ebolitana is played on January 31, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Arturo Valerio, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.