Francs Borains vs Dender: prediction and stats
Challenger Pro LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Robert Urbain, Boussu
The Footlab model makes Francs Borains the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Dender. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Francs Borains vs Dender?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Francs Borains (1,750) and Dender (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Francs Borains have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Dender have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Liège(away) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Feignies-Aulnoye(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Tubize(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Reims(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beerschot VA(home) | 2-0 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Oudenaarde(away) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokeren-Temse(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Francs Borains win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Dender win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2024 | Francs Borains 0-3 Dender | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Dender 2-0 Francs Borains | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Dender 3-1 Francs Borains | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 19, 2021 | Francs Borains 1-1 Dender | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Francs Borains vs Dender on Apr 19, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Francs Borains score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Dender score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francs Borains | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Dender | 0.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Francs Borains sit 10th in Challenger Pro League (3 points from 2 matches) and Dender sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dender | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Francs Borains | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Francs Borains vs Dender?
- The Footlab model makes Francs Borains the favourite at 38%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Dender.
- Where and when is Francs Borains vs Dender played?
- Francs Borains vs Dender is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Robert Urbain, in the Challenger Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.