Fraserburgh vs Rothes: prediction and stats
Football League - Highland LeagueHighland League - 19Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bellslea Park, Fraserburgh
The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 94%, against 5% for a draw and 1% for Rothes. The most likely score is 4-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraserburgh vs Rothes?
Fraserburgh is a heavy favourite: 1,664 Elo points against 1,109 — a 555-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraserburgh have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Rothes have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 4-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Inverurie Loco Works(away) | 1-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nairn County(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forres Mechanics(away) | 2-0 | Football League - Highland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Wick Academy(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Formartine United(home) | 2-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deveronvale(away) | 0-3 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Lossiemouth(away) | 1-4 | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 0-7 | Football League - Highland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Fraserburgh win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rothes win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rothes 0-7 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Rothes 2-5 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
| Aug 13, 2025 | Fraserburgh 3-0 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Mar 5, 2025 | Fraserburgh 6-1 Rothes | Football League - Highland League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Fraserburgh 8-0 Rothes | FA Cup |
| Sep 4, 2024 | Rothes 0-7 Fraserburgh | Football League - Highland League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fraserburgh score 2.5 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rothes score 1.0 and concede 4.0. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraserburgh | 2.5 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Rothes | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 15/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fraserburgh sit 4th in Football League - Highland League (68 points from 34 matches) and Rothes sit 18th (7 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 75 | 39 | 68 |
| 18 | Rothes | 34 | 1 | 4 | 29 | 33 | 134 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraserburgh vs Rothes?
- The Footlab model makes Fraserburgh the favourite at 94%, against 5% for a draw and 1% for Rothes.
- Where and when is Fraserburgh vs Rothes played?
- Fraserburgh vs Rothes is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bellslea Park, in the Football League - Highland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 5, 2026Banks O' DeevsBuckie Thistle
- Dec 5, 2026Brora RangersvsFormartine United
- Dec 5, 2026ClachnacuddinvsHuntly
- Dec 5, 2026Forres MechanicsvsInverurie Loco Works
- Dec 5, 2026LossiemouthvsInvergordon
- Dec 5, 2026Nairn CountyvsKeith
- Dec 5, 2026Strathspey ThistlevsWick Academy
- Dec 5, 2026Turriff UnitedvsDeveronvale