Frechen vs Hennef 05: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, Frechen
The Footlab AI model makes Frechen the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Hennef 05. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frechen vs Hennef 05?
Frechen starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,809 vs 1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Frechen vs Hennef 05
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Frechen
Not enough data to predict the Frechen lineup.
Hennef 05
4-3-3- 22Sebastian Hecht
- 9R. Dabers
- 10F. Schöller
- 20N. Remagen
- 6K. Niewiadomski
- 13T. Günther
- 11D. Wegner
- 5E. Halili
- 4M. Rieck
- 18D. Eck
- 1A. Heil
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frechen have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Hennef 05 have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hürth(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 4, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lindenthal-Hohenlind(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 27, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Frechen wins, 0 draws, 2 Hennef 05 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Hennef 05 6-0 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Frechen 1-2 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Hennef 05 0-1 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Frechen 1-0 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Hennef 05 0-2 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Frechen 3-1 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Frechen score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hennef 05 score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frechen | 2.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Hennef 05 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frechen sit 9th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (8 points from 6 matches) and Hennef 05 sit 11th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Frechen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Hennef 05 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Frechen vs Hennef 05?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frechen vs Hennef 05?
- The Footlab AI model makes Frechen the favourite at 69%, against 17% for a draw and 14% for Hennef 05.
- Where and when is Frechen vs Hennef 05 played?
- Frechen vs Hennef 05 is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.