Frechen vs Hennef 05: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, Frechen
The Footlab model makes Frechen the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Hennef 05. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frechen vs Hennef 05?
Frechen starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frechen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hennef 05 have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Porz(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Siegburger SV(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Porz(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Frechen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hennef 05 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Hennef 05 6-0 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Frechen 1-2 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 30, 2025 | Hennef 05 0-1 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Frechen 1-0 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Hennef 05 0-2 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Frechen 3-1 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Frechen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hennef 05 score 1.8 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frechen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hennef 05 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frechen sit 7th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (50 points from 30 matches) and Hennef 05 sit 12th (35 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frechen | 30 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 66 | 54 | 50 |
| 12 | Hennef 05 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 66 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frechen vs Hennef 05?
- The Footlab model makes Frechen the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Hennef 05.
- Where and when is Frechen vs Hennef 05 played?
- Frechen vs Hennef 05 is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.