Siegburger SV vs TuS BW Königsdorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Walter-Mundorf-Stadion, Siegburg
The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 69%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for TuS BW Königsdorf. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Siegburger SV vs TuS BW Königsdorf?
Siegburger SV starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,913 vs 1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Siegburger SV have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; TuS BW Königsdorf have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2026 | Monheim(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | SF Düren(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Siegburger SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 TuS BW Königsdorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Siegburger SV 5-2 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 19, 2025 | TuS BW Königsdorf 1-3 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Siegburger SV 1-4 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 6, 2024 | TuS BW Königsdorf 0-2 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 28, 2024 | TuS BW Königsdorf 0-1 Siegburger SV | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Siegburger SV 4-1 TuS BW Königsdorf | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Siegburger SV vs TuS BW Königsdorf on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Siegburger SV score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; TuS BW Königsdorf score 1.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Siegburger SV | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| TuS BW Königsdorf | 1.9 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Siegburger SV sit 3rd in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (63 points from 30 matches) and TuS BW Königsdorf sit 9th (46 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Siegburger SV | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 77 | 34 | 63 |
| 9 | TuS BW Königsdorf | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 53 | 54 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Siegburger SV vs TuS BW Königsdorf?
- The Footlab model makes Siegburger SV the favourite at 69%, against 16% for a draw and 15% for TuS BW Königsdorf.
- Where and when is Siegburger SV vs TuS BW Königsdorf played?
- Siegburger SV vs TuS BW Königsdorf is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Walter-Mundorf-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.