SSV Merten vs Fortuna Köln II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, Bornheim
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 13% for Fortuna Köln II. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Merten vs Fortuna Köln II?
SSV Merten starts as the favourite with a 188-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Merten have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Fortuna Köln II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SSV Merten win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Fortuna Köln II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | SSV Merten 0-1 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Fortuna Köln II 2-2 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Fortuna Köln II 2-4 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 17, 2024 | SSV Merten 2-0 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jul 22, 2021 | SSV Merten 0-4 Fortuna Köln II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 29, 2020 | Fortuna Köln II 3-5 SSV Merten | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: SSV Merten vs Fortuna Köln II on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln II score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Fortuna Köln II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSV Merten sit 4th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (60 points from 30 matches) and Fortuna Köln II sit 10th (45 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
| 10 | Fortuna Köln II | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 47 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Merten vs Fortuna Köln II?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 72%, against 15% for a draw and 13% for Fortuna Köln II.
- Where and when is SSV Merten vs Fortuna Köln II played?
- SSV Merten vs Fortuna Köln II is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.