Match

Frechen vs Hürth: prediction and stats

Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 22Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, Frechen

FrechenHürth

The Footlab model makes Frechen the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Hürth. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Frechen vs Hürth?

Frechen starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,805 vs 1,692).

Frechen win57 %
Draw20 %
Hürth win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frechen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hürth have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Frechen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Teutonia Weiden(home)7-1Oberliga - Mittelrhein
May 31, 2026Porz(away)4-1Oberliga - Mittelrhein
May 25, 2026Wegberg-Beeck(home)2-4Oberliga - Mittelrhein
May 17, 2026Bergisch Gladbach(away)1-4Oberliga - Mittelrhein
May 10, 2026SF Düren(home)2-0Oberliga - Mittelrhein
Hürth
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 2026SF Baumberg(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 15, 2025Porz(away)3-3Oberliga - Mittelrhein
Jun 9, 2025Frechen(home)2-3Oberliga - Mittelrhein
Jun 1, 2025VfL Vichttal(away)1-0Oberliga - Mittelrhein
May 25, 2025Bergisch Gladbach(home)0-0Oberliga - Mittelrhein

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frechen win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hürth win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 9, 2025Hürth 2-3 FrechenOberliga - Mittelrhein
Dec 1, 2024Frechen 3-3 HürthOberliga - Mittelrhein
Dec 3, 2023Hürth 1-0 FrechenOberliga - Mittelrhein
Aug 13, 2023Frechen 3-1 HürthOberliga - Mittelrhein
Mar 26, 2023Hürth 2-0 FrechenOberliga - Mittelrhein
Sep 13, 2022Frechen 1-1 HürthOberliga - Mittelrhein

Last archived meeting: Hürth vs Frechen on Jun 9, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Frechen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hürth score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Frechen2.12.1311/1511/15
Hürth1.02.148/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Frechen3016212665450

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Frechen vs Hürth?
The Footlab model makes Frechen the favourite at 57%, against 20% for a draw and 23% for Hürth.
Where and when is Frechen vs Hürth played?
Frechen vs Hürth is played on April 11, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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