Frechen vs VfL Vichttal: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, Frechen
The Footlab model makes VfL Vichttal the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Frechen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frechen vs VfL Vichttal?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Frechen (1,799) and VfL Vichttal (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frechen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; VfL Vichttal have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Porz(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 6-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Porz(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Frechen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 VfL Vichttal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Frechen 3-2 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 19, 2025 | VfL Vichttal 1-0 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Frechen 0-2 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 15, 2024 | VfL Vichttal 1-3 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Frechen 2-1 VfL Vichttal | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 3, 2023 | VfL Vichttal 3-4 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Frechen vs VfL Vichttal on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Frechen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Vichttal score 3.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frechen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| VfL Vichttal | 3.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frechen sit 7th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (50 points from 30 matches) and VfL Vichttal sit 5th (59 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | VfL Vichttal | 30 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 80 | 43 | 59 |
| 7 | Frechen | 30 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 66 | 54 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frechen vs VfL Vichttal?
- The Footlab model makes VfL Vichttal the favourite at 47%, against 20% for a draw and 33% for Frechen.
- Where and when is Frechen vs VfL Vichttal played?
- Frechen vs VfL Vichttal is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.