Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 6Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, Hennef
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln II the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Hennef 05. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Hennef 05 (1,698) and Fortuna Köln II (1,757).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hennef 05 have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Fortuna Köln II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Siegburger SV(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Porz(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hennef 05 win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Fortuna Köln II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II 2-0 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Hennef 05 0-4 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2025 | Fortuna Köln II 2-0 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Hennef 05 0-1 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Hennef 05 0-5 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 1, 2023 | Fortuna Köln II 2-1 Hennef 05 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Köln II vs Hennef 05 on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hennef 05 score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Fortuna Köln II score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hennef 05 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Fortuna Köln II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hennef 05 sit 12th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (35 points from 30 matches) and Fortuna Köln II sit 10th (45 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Fortuna Köln II | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 47 | 45 |
| 12 | Hennef 05 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 66 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln II the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Hennef 05.
- Where and when is Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II played?
- Hennef 05 vs Fortuna Köln II is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion im Sportzentrum Hennef, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.