Freeport vs Paynesville: prediction and stats
LFA First DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)TUSA Sport Field, Monrovia
The Footlab AI model makes Paynesville the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Freeport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Paynesville wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Freeport vs Paynesville?
Paynesville starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,537 vs 1,424).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Freeport vs Paynesville
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Freeport
Not enough data to predict the Freeport lineup.
Paynesville
Not enough data to predict the Paynesville lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freeport have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Paynesville have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Paynesville(home) | 3-3 | LFA First Division |
| May 14, 2026 | LISCR(away) | 1-2 | LFA First Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Downtown(home) | 2-2 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Black Man Warrior(away) | 0-0 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 14, 2026 | LPRC Oilers(home) | 2-3 | LFA First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Freeport(away) | 3-3 | LFA First Division |
| May 13, 2026 | LPRC Oilers(home) | 0-3 | LFA First Division |
| May 9, 2026 | Fassell(home) | 0-3 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Wologizi(home) | 4-2 | LFA First Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | LISCR(away) | 1-1 | LFA First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Freeport wins, 1 draw, 3 Paynesville wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Freeport 3-3 Paynesville | LFA First Division |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Paynesville 6-2 Freeport | LFA First Division |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Paynesville 3-2 Freeport | LFA First Division |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Freeport 3-1 Paynesville | LFA First Division |
| Feb 12, 2024 | Freeport 1-3 Paynesville | LFA First Division |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Paynesville 2-4 Freeport | LFA First Division |
Last archived meeting: Freeport vs Paynesville on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Freeport score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paynesville score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freeport | 1.6 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Paynesville | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Freeport sit 14th in LFA First Division (17 points from 26 matches) and Paynesville sit 6th (42 points from 28 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Paynesville | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 45 | 42 |
| 14 | Freeport | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 38 | 64 | 17 |
A question about Freeport vs Paynesville?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Freeport vs Paynesville?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paynesville the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Freeport.
- Where and when is Freeport vs Paynesville played?
- Freeport vs Paynesville is played on October 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at TUSA Sport Field, in the LFA First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.