Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dreisamstadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Freiburg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate Freiburg II (1,918) and FC 08 Homburg (2,012).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freiburg II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; FC 08 Homburg have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Freiburg II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC 08 Homburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Freiburg II 3-2 FC 08 Homburg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC 08 Homburg 4-1 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Freiburg II 5-3 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Freiburg II 3-2 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 30, 2024 | FC 08 Homburg 2-2 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 29, 2021 | Freiburg II 0-1 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| FC 08 Homburg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Freiburg II sit 5th in Regionalliga - SudWest (5 points from 3 matches) and FC 08 Homburg sit 4th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC 08 Homburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg?
- The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Freiburg II.
- Where and when is Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg played?
- Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dreisamstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 24, 2027FSV FrankfurtvsEintracht Trier
- Apr 24, 2027FC Astoria WalldorfvsVfR Aalen
- Apr 24, 2027Kickers OffenbachvsSV Sandhausen
- Apr 24, 2027SSV Ulm 1846vsFSV Mainz 05 II
- Apr 24, 2027TSV SteinbachvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Apr 24, 2027Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsSGV Freiberg
- Apr 24, 2027Kaiserslautern IIvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Apr 24, 2027VfR MannheimvsHessen Kassel