VfR Mannheim vs Hessen Kassel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 29Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, Mannheim
The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hessen Kassel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Mannheim vs Hessen Kassel?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate VfR Mannheim (1,924) and Hessen Kassel (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Mannheim have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Hessen Kassel have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 1-5 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt II(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Lippstadt 08(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hessen Kassel | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Mannheim sit 14th in Regionalliga - SudWest (2 points from 3 matches) and Hessen Kassel sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hessen Kassel | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Mannheim vs Hessen Kassel?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Mannheim the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Hessen Kassel.
- Where and when is VfR Mannheim vs Hessen Kassel played?
- VfR Mannheim vs Hessen Kassel is played on April 24, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Rhein-Neckar-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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