FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Waldstadion Homburg, Homburg
The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Freiburg II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate FC 08 Homburg (2,011) and Freiburg II (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC 08 Homburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Freiburg II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SV Sandhausen(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reutlingen(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC 08 Homburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Freiburg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Freiburg II 3-2 FC 08 Homburg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 30, 2025 | FC 08 Homburg 4-1 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Freiburg II 5-3 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Freiburg II 3-2 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 30, 2024 | FC 08 Homburg 2-2 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| May 29, 2021 | Freiburg II 0-1 FC 08 Homburg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Freiburg II vs FC 08 Homburg on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC 08 Homburg score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC 08 Homburg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC 08 Homburg sit 4th in Regionalliga - SudWest (6 points from 3 matches) and Freiburg II sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | FC 08 Homburg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II?
- The Footlab model makes FC 08 Homburg the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Freiburg II.
- Where and when is FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II played?
- FC 08 Homburg vs Freiburg II is played on October 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Waldstadion Homburg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026SV SandhausenvsKickers Offenbach
- Oct 17, 2026VfR AalenvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Oct 17, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Oct 17, 2026Eintracht TriervsFSV Frankfurt
- Oct 17, 2026Hessen KasselvsVfR Mannheim
- Oct 17, 2026SGV FreibergvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Oct 17, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsTSV Steinbach
- Oct 17, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsKaiserslautern II