Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dreisamstadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for VfR Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Freiburg II (1,912) and VfR Mannheim (1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freiburg II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; VfR Mannheim have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eintracht Trier(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Pirmasens(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Eddersheim(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Promotion Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| VfR Mannheim | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Freiburg II sit 5th in Regionalliga - SudWest (5 points from 3 matches) and VfR Mannheim sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | VfR Mannheim | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim?
- The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for VfR Mannheim.
- Where and when is Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim played?
- Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dreisamstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Kickers OffenbachvsKaiserslautern II
- Aug 28, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsFSV Frankfurt
- Aug 29, 2026FC Astoria WalldorfvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Aug 29, 2026Eintracht TriervsSV Sandhausen
- Aug 29, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsStuttgarter Kickers
- Aug 29, 2026TSV SteinbachvsHessen Kassel
- Aug 29, 2026SGV FreibergvsEintracht Frankfurt II
- Aug 30, 2026FSV Mainz 05 IIvsVfR Aalen