Match

Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Dreisamstadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

Freiburg IIVfR Mannheim

The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for VfR Mannheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Freiburg II (1,912) and VfR Mannheim (1,918).

Freiburg II win40 %
Draw23 %
VfR Mannheim win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freiburg II have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; VfR Mannheim have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Freiburg II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Stuttgarter Kickers(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026Hessen Kassel(home)5-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 9, 2026VfR Aalen(away)1-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 25, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026FC Schaffhausen(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
VfR Mannheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SGV Freiberg(home)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 16, 2026Eintracht Trier(home)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026FSV Frankfurt(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Jun 10, 2026Pirmasens(away)1-0Oberliga - Promotion Round
Jun 4, 2026Eddersheim(home)4-1Oberliga - Promotion Round

How many goals should we expect?

Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Mannheim score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Freiburg II2.51.7311/1513/15
VfR Mannheim2.01.3510/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Freiburg II sit 5th in Regionalliga - SudWest (5 points from 3 matches) and VfR Mannheim sit 14th (2 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Freiburg II3120845
14VfR Mannheim3021342

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim?
The Footlab model makes Freiburg II the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for VfR Mannheim.
Where and when is Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim played?
Freiburg II vs VfR Mannheim is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Dreisamstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Freiburg II and VfR Mannheim

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