Frem vs Næsby: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Valby Idrætspark, København
The Footlab model makes Næsby the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Frem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frem vs Næsby?
Næsby starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,758 vs 1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frem have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Næsby have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ASA Aarhus(home) | 3-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(home) | 1-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 1-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ishøj(away) | 5-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brønshøj(home) | 0-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vanløse(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kolding B(away) | 3-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sundby(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frem win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Næsby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Næsby 3-2 Frem | 3. Division |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Frem 1-2 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Frem 5-3 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Næsby 1-4 Frem | 3. Division |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Frem 0-0 Næsby | 3. Division |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Næsby 4-2 Frem | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Frem score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Næsby score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frem | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Næsby | 2.0 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frem sit 9th in 3. Division (1 points from 3 matches) and Næsby sit 3rd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Næsby | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Frem | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frem vs Næsby?
- The Footlab model makes Næsby the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Frem.
- Where and when is Frem vs Næsby played?
- Frem vs Næsby is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Valby Idrætspark, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.