Sundby vs Ishøj: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sundby Idrætspark, København
The Footlab model makes Sundby the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Ishøj. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sundby vs Ishøj?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Sundby (1,633) and Ishøj (1,555).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sundby have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ishøj have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(home) | 4-4 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Slagelse B&I(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Næsby(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Næsby(home) | 1-5 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 11, 2026 | ASA Aarhus(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Sydkysten(away) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 0-0 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sundby win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ishøj win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Ishøj 1-5 Sundby | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ishøj 1-1 Sundby | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Sundby score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ishøj score 0.9 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sundby | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Ishøj | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sundby sit 12th in 3. Division (0 points from 3 matches) and Ishøj sit 11th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ishøj | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| 12 | Sundby | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sundby vs Ishøj?
- The Footlab model makes Sundby the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Ishøj.
- Where and when is Sundby vs Ishøj played?
- Sundby vs Ishøj is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sundby Idrætspark, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.