Vanløse vs Holbæk B&I: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Vanløse IP, Vanløse
The Footlab model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Vanløse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vanløse vs Holbæk B&I?
Holbæk B&I starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,683).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vanløse have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Holbæk B&I have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ringsted(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ASA Aarhus(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Næsby(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Køge Nord(away) | 4-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Jul 31, 2026 | FC Helsingor(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 4-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sundby(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holstebro(away) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | AB Copenhagen(home) | 1-2 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Frem(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Vanløse win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Holbæk B&I win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Vanløse 0-2 Holbæk B&I | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Holbæk B&I 4-1 Vanløse | 3. Division |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Vanløse 1-3 Holbæk B&I | 3. Division |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Holbæk B&I 1-2 Vanløse | 3. Division |
| Aug 18, 2023 | Vanløse 1-1 Holbæk B&I | 3. Division |
| Jul 26, 2022 | Holbæk B&I 1-1 Vanløse | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Vanløse score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Holbæk B&I score 2.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanløse | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Holbæk B&I | 2.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vanløse sit 7th in 3. Division (4 points from 3 matches) and Holbæk B&I sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holbæk B&I | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Vanløse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vanløse vs Holbæk B&I?
- The Footlab model makes Holbæk B&I the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Vanløse.
- Where and when is Vanløse vs Holbæk B&I played?
- Vanløse vs Holbæk B&I is played on October 10, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Vanløse IP, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.