Friburguense vs Paduano: result 1-0 and analysis
Carioca - 2Group Stage - 8Kick-off on October 25, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Eduardo Guinle, Nova Friburgo, Rio de Janeiro
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What was the result of Friburguense vs Paduano?
Friburguense won 1-0 on October 25, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friburguense have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Paduano have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Nova Cidade(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Pérolas Negras(away) | 2-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Serrano RJ(away) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Duque de Caxias(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 15, 2023 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Goytacaz(home) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Serra Macaense(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Macaé(home) | 2-1 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Friburguense score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Paduano score 1.4 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friburguense | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Paduano | 1.4 | 0.6 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friburguense sit 12th in Carioca - 2 (4 points from 11 matches) and Paduano sit 11th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Paduano | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 12 | Friburguense | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 4 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy