Friburguense vs SE Belford Roxo: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Semi-finalsKick-off on November 15, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Eduardo Guinle, Nova Friburgo, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Friburguense the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for SE Belford Roxo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Friburguense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,699 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Friburguense vs SE Belford Roxo?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Friburguense (1,453) and SE Belford Roxo (1,494).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Friburguense vs SE Belford Roxo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Friburguense
Not enough data to predict the Friburguense lineup.
SE Belford Roxo
Not enough data to predict the SE Belford Roxo lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 09:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Friburguense have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; SE Belford Roxo have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | SE Belford Roxo(away) | 0-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Santa Cruz RJ(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(away) | 3-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Rio de Janeiro(home) | 5-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Búzios(away) | 3-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Friburguense(home) | 2-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Búzios(away) | 1-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Barra Mansa(home) | 3-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Paduano(away) | 3-3 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Serra Macaense(home) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Friburguense wins, 2 draws, 1 SE Belford Roxo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | SE Belford Roxo 2-0 Friburguense | Carioca B2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Friburguense 2-2 SE Belford Roxo | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | SE Belford Roxo 1-1 Friburguense | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: SE Belford Roxo vs Friburguense on Nov 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Friburguense score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; SE Belford Roxo score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friburguense | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| SE Belford Roxo | 1.8 | 1.6 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Friburguense sit 1st in Carioca B2 (25 points from 11 matches) and SE Belford Roxo sit 4th (20 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 25 |
| 4 | SE Belford Roxo | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 20 |
A question about Friburguense vs SE Belford Roxo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Friburguense vs SE Belford Roxo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Friburguense the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for SE Belford Roxo.
- Where and when is Friburguense vs SE Belford Roxo played?
- Friburguense vs SE Belford Roxo is played on November 15, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Eduardo Guinle, in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.