Frosinone vs Bologna: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 6, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
The Footlab model makes Bologna the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frosinone vs Bologna?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Frosinone (2,002) and Bologna (2,049).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frosinone have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Bologna have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Juventus(home) | 0-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cambuur(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Iraklis 1908(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | 1. FC Heidenheim(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frosinone win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bologna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | Frosinone 0-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Bologna 2-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Jan 27, 2019 | Bologna 0-4 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Frosinone 0-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Feb 3, 2016 | Frosinone 1-0 Bologna | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2015 | Bologna 1-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Frosinone score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bologna score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Bologna | 1.1 | 1.8 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Frosinone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs Bologna?
- The Footlab model makes Bologna the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is Frosinone vs Bologna played?
- Frosinone vs Bologna is played on January 6, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Benito Stirpe, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.