Monza vs Frosinone: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC)U-Power Stadium, Monza
The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Monza. The most likely score is 1-1. If Frosinone wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Monza vs Frosinone?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Monza (2,002) and Frosinone (2,085).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Monza vs Frosinone
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Monza
3-4-2-1- 9Gustavo Varela
- 7Ricardo Mangas
- 19S. Birindelli
- 14E. Akinsanmiro
- 46Jay Robinson
- 47Dany Mota
- 8M. Ondoa
- 60E. Kouadio
- 44A. Carboni
- 3L. Lucchesi
- 1N. Törnqvist
Frosinone
4-2-3-1- 9A. Raimondo
- 14G. Calò
- 73P. Masini
- 10R. Schmid
- 17G. Kvernadze
- 7F. Ghedjemis
- 79G. Bracaglia
- 20A. Oyono
- 2G. Cittadini
- 30I. Monterisi
- 22L. Palmisani
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 02:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Monza have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Frosinone have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 4-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Lazio(away) | 1-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 2-3 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 4-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Napoli(away) | 0-3 | Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Monza wins, 1 draw, 2 Frosinone wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Monza 2-2 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Frosinone 0-1 Monza | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Monza 0-1 Frosinone | Coppa Italia |
| May 19, 2024 | Monza 0-1 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Frosinone 2-3 Monza | Serie A |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Monza 3-2 Frosinone | Coppa Italia |
How many goals should we expect?
Monza score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Frosinone score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monza | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Frosinone | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Monza sit 14th in Serie A (7 points from 7 matches) and Frosinone sit 6th (13 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 13 |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 7 |
A question about Monza vs Frosinone?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Monza vs Frosinone?
- The Footlab AI model makes Frosinone the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Monza.
- Where and when is Monza vs Frosinone played?
- Monza vs Frosinone is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at U-Power Stadium, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.