Frosinone vs Venezia: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone
The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Frosinone. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frosinone vs Venezia?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Frosinone (2,063) and Venezia (2,103).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frosinone have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Venezia have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lazio(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Modena(home) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Saint Etienne(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frosinone win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Venezia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Frosinone 1-2 Venezia | Serie B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Venezia 3-0 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Frosinone 3-0 Venezia | Serie B |
| Oct 14, 2022 | Venezia 1-3 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2021 | Venezia 1-1 Frosinone | Coppa Italia |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Frosinone 1-2 Venezia | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Frosinone score 2.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Venezia score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 2.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Venezia | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frosinone vs Venezia?
- The Footlab model makes Venezia the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Frosinone.
- Where and when is Frosinone vs Venezia played?
- Frosinone vs Venezia is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Benito Stirpe, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.