Frýdlant vs Bílovec: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie FDivision F - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion 1. BFK Frýdlant, Frýdlant nad Ostravicí
The Footlab model makes Bílovec the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Frýdlant. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frýdlant vs Bílovec?
Bílovec starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,640 vs 1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frýdlant have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Bílovec have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kravare(away) | 2-7 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nový Jičín(home) | 0-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Opava(home) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pustá Polom(away) | 0-3 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TJ Bystrice(away) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bospor Bohumín(home) | 0-5 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Zabreh(away) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Opava II(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Vítkovice(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Cesky Tesin(away) | 3-0 | 4. liga - Divizie F |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Frýdlant win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bílovec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Frýdlant 1-1 Bílovec | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Bílovec 6-3 Frýdlant | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| May 25, 2025 | Bílovec 0-0 Frýdlant | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Frýdlant 2-1 Bílovec | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| May 8, 2022 | Bílovec 1-2 Frýdlant | 4. liga - Divizie F |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Frýdlant 0-2 Bílovec | 4. liga - Divizie F |
How many goals should we expect?
Frýdlant score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bílovec score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frýdlant | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Bílovec | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frýdlant sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie F (0 points from 2 matches) and Bílovec sit 12th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bílovec | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Bílovec | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Frýdlant | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frýdlant vs Bílovec?
- The Footlab model makes Bílovec the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Frýdlant.
- Where and when is Frýdlant vs Bílovec played?
- Frýdlant vs Bílovec is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion 1. BFK Frýdlant, in the 4. liga - Divizie F.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.