FSV Mainz 05 II vs FC Astoria Walldorf: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Bruchweg, Mainz
The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for FC Astoria Walldorf. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 II vs FC Astoria Walldorf?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 II (1,915) and FC Astoria Walldorf (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; FC Astoria Walldorf have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(home) | 3-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stuttgart II(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2026 | SV Darmstadt 98(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Astoria Walldorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 II 1-1 FC Astoria Walldorf | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 22, 2025 | FC Astoria Walldorf 1-2 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 2, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 0-0 FC Astoria Walldorf | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 8, 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 II 1-2 FC Astoria Walldorf | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 31, 2024 | FC Astoria Walldorf 3-2 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 20, 2024 | FC Astoria Walldorf 4-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs FC Astoria Walldorf on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FC Astoria Walldorf score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| FC Astoria Walldorf | 1.5 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Astoria Walldorf sit 18th (1 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 18 | FC Astoria Walldorf | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 II vs FC Astoria Walldorf?
- The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 II the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for FC Astoria Walldorf.
- Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 II vs FC Astoria Walldorf played?
- FSV Mainz 05 II vs FC Astoria Walldorf is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Bruchweg, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027SV SandhausenvsFSV Frankfurt
- Apr 17, 2027VfR AalenvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Apr 17, 2027Eintracht TriervsTSV Steinbach
- Apr 17, 2027FC 08 HomburgvsKickers Offenbach
- Apr 17, 2027Hessen KasselvsKaiserslautern II
- Apr 17, 2027SGV FreibergvsFreiburg II
- Apr 17, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsVfR Mannheim
- Apr 17, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsSSV Ulm 1846