SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Freiburg II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Freiburg II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(home) | 5-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Schaffhausen(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 SGV Freiberg win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Freiburg II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Freiburg II 1-2 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 2, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 3-0 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 2-0 Freiburg II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Freiburg II 2-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: Freiburg II vs SGV Freiberg on Nov 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Freiburg II score 2.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Freiburg II | 2.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and Freiburg II sit 5th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Freiburg II | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Freiburg II.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II played?
- SGV Freiberg vs Freiburg II is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027SV SandhausenvsFSV Frankfurt
- Apr 17, 2027VfR AalenvsBarockstadt Fulda-Lehn.
- Apr 17, 2027FSV Mainz 05 IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Apr 17, 2027Eintracht TriervsTSV Steinbach
- Apr 17, 2027FC 08 HomburgvsKickers Offenbach
- Apr 17, 2027Hessen KasselvsKaiserslautern II
- Apr 17, 2027Stuttgarter KickersvsVfR Mannheim
- Apr 17, 2027Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsSSV Ulm 1846