Fügen vs Kitzbühel: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 17Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Fügen, Fügen
The Footlab model makes Fügen the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Kitzbühel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fügen vs Kitzbühel?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Fügen (1,685) and Kitzbühel (1,668).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fügen have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Kitzbühel have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kufstein(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hohenems(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kitzbühel(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaz(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Innsbrucker AC(away) | 3-2 | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lauterach(home) | 4-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Röthis(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fügen(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lustenau(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Lustenau(away) | 4-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fügen win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Kitzbühel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kitzbühel 0-2 Fügen | Regionalliga - West |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Kitzbühel 3-1 Fügen | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Fügen 0-1 Kitzbühel | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Fügen 1-2 Kitzbühel | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Aug 4, 2023 | Kitzbühel 0-1 Fügen | Landesliga - Tirol |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Fügen 2-0 Kitzbühel | Regionalliga - Tirol |
How many goals should we expect?
Fügen score 2.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Kitzbühel score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fügen | 2.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Kitzbühel | 2.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fügen sit 6th in Regionalliga - West (6 points from 4 matches) and Kitzbühel sit 4th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kitzbühel | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Fügen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fügen vs Kitzbühel?
- The Footlab model makes Fügen the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for Kitzbühel.
- Where and when is Fügen vs Kitzbühel played?
- Fügen vs Kitzbühel is played on November 22, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Fügen, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.