Fyllingsdalen vs Gneist: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 3Regular Season - 19Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Varden Amfi, Bergen
The Footlab model makes Gneist the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Fyllingsdalen. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fyllingsdalen vs Gneist?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Fyllingsdalen (1,450) and Gneist (1,467).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fyllingsdalen have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; Gneist have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Djerv(away) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Varegg(home) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Askøy(away) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Åsane II(home) | 2-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Austevoll(away) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Førde(home) | 1-2 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fana(away) | 0-4 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vard(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Brann II(home) | 0-3 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Djerv(away) | 2-6 | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Fyllingsdalen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Gneist win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Gneist 3-1 Fyllingsdalen | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Fyllingsdalen 3-1 Gneist | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
| May 8, 2025 | Gneist 2-1 Fyllingsdalen | 3. Division - Girone 4 |
Last archived meeting: Gneist vs Fyllingsdalen on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fyllingsdalen score 0.7 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gneist score 1.8 and concede 3.1. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fyllingsdalen | 0.7 | 3.0 | 0 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Gneist | 1.8 | 3.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fyllingsdalen sit 14th in 3. Division - Girone 3 (6 points from 16 matches) and Gneist sit 12th (13 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gneist | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 48 | 13 |
| 14 | Fyllingsdalen | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 45 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fyllingsdalen vs Gneist?
- The Footlab model makes Gneist the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Fyllingsdalen.
- Where and when is Fyllingsdalen vs Gneist played?
- Fyllingsdalen vs Gneist is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Varden Amfi, in the 3. Division - Girone 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.