Gabon vs Zimbabwe: prediction and stats
FriendliesFriendlies 3Kick-off on January 7, 2017 at 12:00 AM (UTC)TBC (Morocco), TBC
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gabon have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zimbabwe have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2016 | Mali(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 8, 2016 | Morocco(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jan 24, 2016 | Ivory Coast(away) | 1-4 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 20, 2016 | Rwanda(away) | 1-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 16, 2016 | Morocco(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2016 | Uganda(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Mali(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2016 | Zambia(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Lesotho(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Lesotho(home) | 3-1 | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Gabon score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Zimbabwe score 0.9 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon | 1.0 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Zimbabwe | 0.9 | 0.5 | 7 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy