Gabon vs Morocco: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 5Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)TBC (Morocco), TBC
The Footlab AI model makes Morocco the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Gabon. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gabon vs Morocco?
Morocco is a heavy favourite: 1,892 Elo points against 1,530, a 362-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gabon vs Morocco
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gabon
4-4-2- 10S. Babicka
- 20E. Matouti
- 22D. Ndong
- 12G. Kanga
- 20D. Bouanga
- 17A. Biyogo Poko
- 6U. Mboula
- 19J. Ekomié
- 21J. Oyono
- 4A. Moucketou-Moussounda
- 1J. Amonome
Morocco
4-2-3-1- 11I. Saibari
- 24N. El Aynaoui
- 8A. Ounahi
- 10Brahim Díaz
- 23B. El Khannouss
- 6A. Bouaddi
- 3N. Mazraoui
- 14I. Diop
- 13Z. El Ouahdi
- 2A. Hakimi
- 1Y. Bounou
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gabon have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Morocco have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Niger(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Trinidad and Tobago(away) | 2-2 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Uzbekistan(away) | 1-3 | FIFA Series |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Ivory Coast(home) | 2-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Lesotho(away) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Gabon(home) | 2-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jul 9, 2026 | France(away) | 0-2 | World Cup |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Canada(away) | 3-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 30, 2026 | Netherlands(away) | 1-1 | World Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Gabon win, 1 draw, 4 Morocco wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morocco 2-0 Gabon | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Gabon 1-5 Morocco | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Morocco 4-1 Gabon | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 18, 2022 | Gabon 2-2 Morocco | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Oct 15, 2019 | Morocco 2-3 Gabon | Friendlies |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Morocco 3-0 Gabon | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Gabon score 1.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Morocco score 2.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabon | 1.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Morocco | 2.0 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gabon sit 2nd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Morocco sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Gabon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
A question about Gabon vs Morocco?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gabon vs Morocco?
- The Footlab AI model makes Morocco the favourite at 57%, against 26% for a draw and 17% for Gabon.
- Where and when is Gabon vs Morocco played?
- Gabon vs Morocco is played on March 24, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at TBC (Morocco), in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.