Gainsborough Trinity vs Barrow: result 2-0 and analysis
FA Trophy4th RoundKick-off on February 5, 2013 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire
Full time
What was the result of Gainsborough Trinity vs Barrow?
Gainsborough Trinity won 2-0 on February 5, 2013.
Goalscorers
- 22′Michael LearyGainsborough Trinity
- 29′L. WaterfallGainsborough Trinity
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 6 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Barrow have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2013 | Tamworth(home) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Dec 15, 2012 | Forest Green(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 24, 2012 | Harrogate Town(home) | 2-0 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 13, 2012 | Hinckley United(away) | 4-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Hinckley United(home) | 1-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2013 | Luton(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Jan 29, 2013 | Gateshead(away) | 3-2 | FA Trophy |
| Jan 19, 2013 | Newport County(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Jan 8, 2013 | Luton(away) | 1-6 | National League |
| Jan 5, 2013 | Kidderminster Harriers(away) | 0-2 | National League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gainsborough Trinity score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 12; Barrow score 1.3 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity | 1.6 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/12 | 7/12 |
| Barrow | 1.3 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy