Barrow vs Boreham Wood: prediction and stats
National LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SO Legal Stadium, Barrow-in-Furness, Cumbria
The Footlab AI model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Barrow. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Barrow vs Boreham Wood?
Boreham Wood starts as the favourite with a 299-point Elo edge (2,058 vs 1,759).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Barrow vs Boreham Wood
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Barrow
4-3-3- 14Sebastian Blake Thompson
- 9A. Reid
- 19A. Allen
- 26R. Harper
- 5C. Edwards
- 27I. Marriott
- 25P. Kalambayi
- 2M. Oakley
- 36T. Latty-Fairweather
- 6K. Digie
- 1B. Winterbottom
Boreham Wood
4-3-3- 11T. Allarakhia
- 9D. Cashman
- 32M. Rush
- 4T. White
- 8Z. Brunt
- 6C. O'Connell
- 5C. Bush
- 2J. Clarke
- 3Oliver Bainbridge
- 25O. Kensdale
- 22Ted Curd
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Barrow have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Boreham Wood have 13, 2 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 2-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Southend(away) | 4-2 | National League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Sutton Utd(away) | 2-0 | National League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Altrincham(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Kidderminster Harriers(home) | 3-1 | National League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Solihull Moors(away) | 3-0 | National League |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Barrow wins, 3 draws, 1 Boreham Wood win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2020 | Boreham Wood 1-1 Barrow | National League |
| Oct 8, 2019 | Barrow 3-1 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Mar 30, 2019 | Barrow 1-2 Boreham Wood | National League |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Boreham Wood 1-1 Barrow | National League |
| Mar 30, 2018 | Boreham Wood 0-0 Barrow | National League |
| Sep 2, 2017 | Barrow 2-1 Boreham Wood | National League |
Last archived meeting: Boreham Wood vs Barrow on Jan 25, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Barrow score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Boreham Wood score 2.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Boreham Wood | 2.6 | 0.9 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Barrow sit 8th in National League (21 points from 13 matches) and Boreham Wood sit 1st (35 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 13 | 35 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
A question about Barrow vs Boreham Wood?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Barrow vs Boreham Wood?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boreham Wood the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Barrow.
- Where and when is Barrow vs Boreham Wood played?
- Barrow vs Boreham Wood is played on December 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SO Legal Stadium, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.