Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernMatchday 21Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kal Group Stadium, Gainsborough, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Alfreton Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gainsborough Trinity wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,211 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town?
On Elo ratings, Gainsborough Trinity has 1,979 points and Alfreton Town 1,923.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gainsborough Trinity
Not enough data to predict the Gainsborough Trinity lineup.
Alfreton Town
Not enough data to predict the Alfreton Town lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 12:26 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gainsborough Trinity have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Alfreton Town have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(home) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Warrington Town(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Southport(home) | 0-1 | FA Trophy |
| Nov 10, 2026 | Workington(away) | 0-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 6, 2026 | Quorn(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | AFC Emley(home) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Mickleover Sports(away) | 2-1 | FA Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Gainsborough Trinity wins, 1 draw, 3 Alfreton Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | Alfreton Town 2-1 Gainsborough Trinity | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Gainsborough Trinity 1-2 Alfreton Town | FA Trophy |
| Nov 30, 2016 | Alfreton Town 4-1 Gainsborough Trinity | FA Trophy |
| Nov 26, 2016 | Gainsborough Trinity 0-0 Alfreton Town | FA Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Alfreton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity on Aug 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gainsborough Trinity score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Alfreton Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gainsborough Trinity | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Alfreton Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gainsborough Trinity sit 9th in Non League Premier - Northern (29 points from 18 matches) and Alfreton Town sit 12th (23 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gainsborough Trinity | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 34 | 27 | 29 |
| 12 | Alfreton Town | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 25 | 23 |
A question about Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gainsborough Trinity the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Alfreton Town.
- Where and when is Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town played?
- Gainsborough Trinity vs Alfreton Town is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kal Group Stadium, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.