Galata vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yıldıztabya Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Galata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galata vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?
Karadeniz Ereğli BSK starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,628 vs 1,513).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galata have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Çankaya FK(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(home) | 5-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Galata score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galata | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Galata | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galata vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?
- The Footlab model makes Karadeniz Ereğli BSK the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Galata.
- Where and when is Galata vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?
- Galata vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yıldıztabya Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Beykoz AnadoluvsAmasyaspor 1968
- Nov 1, 2026Zonguldak KömürsporvsFatsa Belediyespor
- Nov 1, 2026DüzcesporvsTokat Bld Plevnespor
- Nov 1, 2026PazarsporvsGölcükspor
- Nov 1, 2026Orduspor 1967vsSilivrispor
- Nov 1, 2026Karabük İdman YurduvsYalova Yeşilovaspor
- Nov 1, 2026Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsBeykoz İshaklıspor
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