Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, Pazar
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Gölcükspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Pazarspor (1,583) and Gölcükspor (1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pazarspor have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Gölcükspor have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Zonguldak Kömürspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Düzcespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Bursaspor(away) | 2-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Bartınspor(home) | 3-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Gebzespor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 1, 2021 | Arhavispor(home) | 5-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pazarspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gölcükspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | Gölcükspor 2-1 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Oct 5, 2019 | Pazarspor 3-1 Gölcükspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Feb 10, 2018 | Gölcükspor 6-6 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Sep 23, 2017 | Pazarspor 2-1 Gölcükspor | 3. Lig - Group 2 |
| Mar 6, 2013 | Pazarspor 3-2 Gölcükspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Oct 24, 2012 | Gölcükspor 0-0 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Gölcükspor vs Pazarspor on Feb 15, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gölcükspor score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pazarspor | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Gölcükspor | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor?
- The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Gölcükspor.
- Where and when is Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor played?
- Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Beykoz AnadoluvsAmasyaspor 1968
- Nov 1, 2026Zonguldak KömürsporvsFatsa Belediyespor
- Nov 1, 2026DüzcesporvsTokat Bld Plevnespor
- Nov 1, 2026Orduspor 1967vsSilivrispor
- Nov 1, 2026Karabük İdman YurduvsYalova Yeşilovaspor
- Nov 1, 2026Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsBeykoz İshaklıspor
- Nov 1, 2026GalatavsKaradeniz Ereğli BSK
- Nov 1, 2026İnkılapsporvsKartal Bulvarspor