Match

Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, Pazar

PazarsporGölcükspor

The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Gölcükspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Pazarspor (1,583) and Gölcükspor (1,487).

Pazarspor win44 %
Draw30 %
Gölcükspor win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pazarspor have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Gölcükspor have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pazarspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Amasyaspor 1968(home)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026Karabük İdman Yurdu(away)1-03. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026Zonguldak Kömürspor(home)3-33. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026Düzcespor(away)0-13. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home)0-03. Lig - Group 3
Gölcükspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2023Arnavutköy Belediyespor(away)1-2Türkiye Kupası
Oct 10, 2023Bursaspor(away)2-1Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023Bartınspor(home)3-0Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023Gebzespor(home)2-0Türkiye Kupası
May 1, 2021Arhavispor(home)5-23. Lig - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Pazarspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Gölcükspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 15, 2020Gölcükspor 2-1 Pazarspor3. Lig - Group 3
Oct 5, 2019Pazarspor 3-1 Gölcükspor3. Lig - Group 3
Feb 10, 2018Gölcükspor 6-6 Pazarspor3. Lig - Group 2
Sep 23, 2017Pazarspor 2-1 Gölcükspor3. Lig - Group 2
Mar 6, 2013Pazarspor 3-2 Gölcükspor3. Lig - Group 1
Oct 24, 2012Gölcükspor 0-0 Pazarspor3. Lig - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Gölcükspor vs Pazarspor on Feb 15, 2020

How many goals should we expect?

Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gölcükspor score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pazarspor1.00.5103/153/15
Gölcükspor1.61.6210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor?
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Gölcükspor.
Where and when is Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor played?
Pazarspor vs Gölcükspor is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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