Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadı, Karabük
The Footlab model makes Karabük İdman Yurdu the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Karabük İdman Yurdu (1,540) and Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karabük İdman Yurdu have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Giresunspor(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Pazarspor(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 3-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Artvin Hopaspor(home) | 3-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | İnkılapspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Çorluspor 1947(home) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Etimesgut SK(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1926 Polatlı Belediye(home) | 1-2 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Nilüfer Belediye(away) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Karabük İdman Yurdu score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karabük İdman Yurdu | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Yalova Yeşilovaspor | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 36 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Karabük İdman Yurdu the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Yalova Yeşilovaspor.
- Where and when is Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor played?
- Karabük İdman Yurdu vs Yalova Yeşilovaspor is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Dr. Necmettin Şeyhoğlu Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 1, 2026Beykoz AnadoluvsAmasyaspor 1968
- Nov 1, 2026Zonguldak KömürsporvsFatsa Belediyespor
- Nov 1, 2026DüzcesporvsTokat Bld Plevnespor
- Nov 1, 2026PazarsporvsGölcükspor
- Nov 1, 2026Orduspor 1967vsSilivrispor
- Nov 1, 2026Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsBeykoz İshaklıspor
- Nov 1, 2026GalatavsKaradeniz Ereğli BSK
- Nov 1, 2026İnkılapsporvsKartal Bulvarspor