Galata vs Pazarspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yıldıztabya Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Galata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galata vs Pazarspor?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Galata (1,512) and Pazarspor (1,582).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galata have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Pazarspor have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Çankaya FK(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Bursa Yıldırımspor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Kestel Çilek(home) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Beykoz İshaklıspor(away) | 1-1 | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Zonguldak Kömürspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Düzcespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Galata score 0.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galata | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Pazarspor | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Galata | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galata vs Pazarspor?
- The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 37%, against 29% for a draw and 34% for Galata.
- Where and when is Galata vs Pazarspor played?
- Galata vs Pazarspor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yıldıztabya Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 6, 2026Beykoz AnadoluvsKüçükçekmece Sinopspor
- Sep 6, 2026SilivrisporvsBeykoz İshaklıspor
- Sep 6, 2026Karadeniz Ereğli BSKvsFatsa Belediyespor
- Sep 6, 2026Orduspor 1967vsDüzcespor
- Sep 6, 2026Amasyaspor 1968vsGölcükspor
- Sep 6, 2026Karabük İdman YurduvsKartal Bulvarspor
- Sep 6, 2026Yalova YeşilovasporvsTokat Bld Plevnespor
- Sep 6, 2026İnkılapsporvsZonguldak Kömürspor