Where and when is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor played?

Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, Yalova

Yalova Yeşilovaspor

Tokat Bld Plevnespor

The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Yalova Yeşilovaspor (1,547) and Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,537).

Yalova Yeşilovaspor win41 %

Draw28 %

Tokat Bld Plevnespor win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yalova Yeşilovaspor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yalova Yeşilovaspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	İnkılapspor(away)	0-1	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Çorluspor 1947(home)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Etimesgut SK(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 28, 2026	1926 Polatlı Belediye(home)	1-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 24, 2026	Nilüfer Belediye(away)	2-3	3. Lig - Group 1

Tokat Bld Plevnespor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Düzcespor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 12, 2026	Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 3
Apr 5, 2026	Yeni Orduspor(away)	0-6	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 29, 2026	Giresunspor(home)	2-0	3. Lig - Group 3
Mar 25, 2026	Pazarspor(away)	0-0	3. Lig - Group 3

How many goals should we expect?

Yalova Yeşilovaspor score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Yalova Yeşilovaspor	1.1	1.3	4	8/15	6/15
Tokat Bld Plevnespor	1.1	1.2	7	4/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Yalova Yeşilovaspor	30	9	10	11	38	36	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor?: The Footlab model makes Yalova Yeşilovaspor the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Tokat Bld Plevnespor.
Where and when is Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor played?: Yalova Yeşilovaspor vs Tokat Bld Plevnespor is played on September 6, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Yalova Atatürk Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.