Galatasaray vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)RAMS Park, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Başakşehir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Başakşehir?
Galatasaray starts as the favourite with a 112-point Elo edge (2,158 vs 2,046).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galatasaray have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Başakşehir have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Erzurumspor FK(away) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 1-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Galatasaray win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Başakşehir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Galatasaray 3-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Galatasaray 1-0 Başakşehir | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| May 30, 2025 | Galatasaray 2-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Galatasaray 2-2 Başakşehir | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Galatasaray vs Başakşehir on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galatasaray score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.6 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galatasaray sit 2nd in Süper Lig (4 points from 2 matches) and Başakşehir sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Başakşehir | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Başakşehir.
- Where and when is Galatasaray vs Başakşehir played?
- Galatasaray vs Başakşehir is played on February 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at RAMS Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.