Galatasaray vs Başakşehir: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 21Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)RAMS Park, İstanbul
The Footlab AI model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Başakşehir. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Galatasaray vs Başakşehir?
Galatasaray starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (2,083 vs 1,956).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Galatasaray vs Başakşehir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Galatasaray
4-2-3-1- 21D. Gül
- 11Y. Akgün
- 34L. Torreira
- 27Rafael Leão
- 8Gabriel Sara
- 83A. Batrakov
- 6D. Sánchez
- 4I. Jakobs
- 53B. Yılmaz
- 42A. Bardakcı
- 1U. Çakır
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1- 91B. Yıldırım
- 14E. Shomurodov
- 8O. Kemen
- 70A. Skov Olsen
- 20U. Güneş
- 77I. Brnić
- 23E. Bayram
- 27O. Ba
- 33M. Karbownik
- 38S. Kharebashvili
- 16M. Şengezer
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Galatasaray have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Başakşehir have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Barcelona(home) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 3-1 | Süper Lig |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Pendikspor(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Trabzonspor(away) | 0-4 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 1-0 | Süper Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Konyaspor(away) | 0-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Gençlerbirliği S.K.(home) | 4-0 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Amed(away) | 0-5 | Süper Lig |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Galatasaray(home) | 2-3 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Kasımpaşa(home) | 1-1 | Süper Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Galatasaray wins, 0 draws, 0 Başakşehir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Başakşehir 2-3 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Galatasaray 3-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Galatasaray 1-0 Başakşehir | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| May 30, 2025 | Galatasaray 2-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
Last archived meeting: Başakşehir vs Galatasaray on Sep 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Galatasaray score 2.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Başakşehir score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Başakşehir | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Galatasaray sit 1st in Süper Lig (16 points from 7 matches) and Başakşehir sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 16 |
| 11 | Başakşehir | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Galatasaray vs Başakşehir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Galatasaray vs Başakşehir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Galatasaray the favourite at 64%, against 21% for a draw and 15% for Başakşehir.
- Where and when is Galatasaray vs Başakşehir played?
- Galatasaray vs Başakşehir is played on February 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at RAMS Park, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.