Başakşehir vs Galatasaray: prediction and stats
Süper LigRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, İstanbul
The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Galatasaray. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Başakşehir vs Galatasaray?
Galatasaray starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,146 vs 2,045).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Başakşehir have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Galatasaray have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kocaelispor(home) | 2-0 | Süper Lig |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Çorum FK(home) | 2-2 | Süper Lig |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Villarreal(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Rennes(home) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Monza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Başakşehir win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Galatasaray win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Galatasaray 3-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Galatasaray 1-0 Başakşehir | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| May 30, 2025 | Galatasaray 2-0 Başakşehir | Süper Lig |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Başakşehir 1-2 Galatasaray | Süper Lig |
| Jan 8, 2025 | Galatasaray 2-2 Başakşehir | Türkiye Kupası |
Last archived meeting: Galatasaray vs Başakşehir on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Başakşehir score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Galatasaray score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Başakşehir | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Galatasaray | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Başakşehir sit 2nd in Süper Lig (3 points from 1 matches) and Galatasaray sit 8th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Başakşehir | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Galatasaray | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Başakşehir vs Galatasaray?
- The Footlab model makes Başakşehir the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Galatasaray.
- Where and when is Başakşehir vs Galatasaray played?
- Başakşehir vs Galatasaray is played on September 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu, in the Süper Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.