GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town: result 0-1 and analysis
Premier League1st Phase - 5Kick-off on September 11, 2018 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Essity Stadium, Y Fflint / Flint, Flintshire
Full time
What was the result of GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Caernarfon Town?
Caernarfon Town won 0-1 on September 11, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 45′Jamie BreeseCaernarfon Town
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GAP Connah S Quay FC have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; Caernarfon Town have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2018 | Barry Town(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2018 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2018 | The New Saints(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 12, 2018 | llanelli AFC(away) | 7-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 19, 2018 | Shakhter Soligorsk(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2018 | The New Saints(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Cardiff MET(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 17, 2018 | Newtown AFC(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 12, 2018 | Cefn Druids AFC(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Jan 26, 2018 | The New Saints(home) | 1-3 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
GAP Connah S Quay FC score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Caernarfon Town score 2.7 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Caernarfon Town | 2.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 4th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Caernarfon Town sit 6th (9 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Caernarfon Town | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy