GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Essity Stadium, Y Fflint / Flint, Flintshire
The Footlab model makes GAP Connah S Quay FC the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Haverfordwest County AFC. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
GAP Connah S Quay FC starts as the favourite with a 190-point Elo edge (1,963 vs 1,773).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GAP Connah S Quay FC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Haverfordwest County AFC have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ammanford AFC(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Trefelin(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Holywell(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Caernarfon Town(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Ballkani(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Penybont(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | The New Saints(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airbus UK(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 GAP Connah S Quay FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Haverfordwest County AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 3-3 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-3 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Haverfordwest County AFC 0-0 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 0-1 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2023 | GAP Connah S Quay FC 1-2 Haverfordwest County AFC | Premier League |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Haverfordwest County AFC 1-3 GAP Connah S Quay FC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC on Oct 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
GAP Connah S Quay FC score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Haverfordwest County AFC score 0.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Haverfordwest County AFC | 0.9 | 1.4 | 5 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GAP Connah S Quay FC sit 4th in Premier League (9 points from 4 matches) and Haverfordwest County AFC sit 14th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC?
- The Footlab model makes GAP Connah S Quay FC the favourite at 73%, against 17% for a draw and 10% for Haverfordwest County AFC.
- Where and when is GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC played?
- GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Haverfordwest County AFC is played on September 4, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Essity Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.