GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog: result 3-1 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 27, 2018 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Essity Stadium, Y Fflint / Flint, Flintshire
Full time
What was the result of GAP Connah S Quay FC vs Porthmadog?
GAP Connah S Quay FC won 3-1 on January 27, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 8′Joe ChaplinPorthmadog
- 10′Michael Adewale Oluwabunmi BakareGAP Connah S Quay FC
- 34′M. WildeGAP Connah S Quay FC
- 85′G. HoranGAP Connah S Quay FC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GAP Connah S Quay FC have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Porthmadog have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2018 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2018 | Barry Town(home) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 29, 2017 | Cefn Druids AFC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 26, 2017 | Cefn Druids AFC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Dec 22, 2017 | Newtown AFC(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | Panteg(home) | 7-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Penley(home) | 10-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Penyffordd(home) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Dec 3, 2016 | Cardiff MET(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 3-3 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
GAP Connah S Quay FC score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Porthmadog score 2.7 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Porthmadog | 2.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy