Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipNorth - 16Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)The Traeth Stadium, Porthmadog, Gwynedd
The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Penrhyncoch. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,798 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch?
On Elo ratings, Porthmadog has 1,595 points and Penrhyncoch 1,507.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Porthmadog
4-3-3- CCai Llywelyn Jones
- SS. Cavanagh
- II. Price
- DDaniel Paul Brookwell
- CC. Evans
- GGruffydd Ellis
- JJosh Banks
- MMorgan Rhys Wyn Owen
- NNathan Williams
- II. Havelock
- AA. Ward-Jones
Penrhyncoch
Not enough data to predict the Penrhyncoch lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Porthmadog have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Penrhyncoch have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | GAP Connah S Quay FC(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Newtown AFC(away) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ruthin Town(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llanuwchllyn(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Gresford Athletic(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ruthin Town(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bala Town(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bangor City 1876 FC(home) | 1-5 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Porthmadog wins, 1 draw, 0 Penrhyncoch wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Penrhyncoch 1-3 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Porthmadog 2-1 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Penrhyncoch 0-3 Porthmadog | FAW Championship |
| Oct 15, 2019 | Porthmadog 0-0 Penrhyncoch | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Penrhyncoch vs Porthmadog on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Porthmadog score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Penrhyncoch score 0.9 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porthmadog | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Penrhyncoch | 0.9 | 2.5 | 1 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Porthmadog sit 3rd in FAW Championship (23 points from 11 matches) and Penrhyncoch sit 16th (1 point from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Porthmadog | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 23 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 1 |
A question about Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch?
- The Footlab AI model makes Porthmadog the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Penrhyncoch.
- Where and when is Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch played?
- Porthmadog vs Penrhyncoch is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at The Traeth Stadium, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.