Pontypridd Town vs Penydarren BGC: result 1-2 and analysis
Welsh Cup4th RoundKick-off on January 27, 2018 at 01:30 PM (UTC)USW Sports Park, Treforest, Pontypridd
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What was the result of Pontypridd Town vs Penydarren BGC?
Penydarren BGC won 1-2 on January 27, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 12′223840Penydarren BGC
- 14′James HillPontypridd Town
- 65′223840Penydarren BGC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Pontypridd Town have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat; Penydarren BGC have 3, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | Haverfordwest County AFC(home) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 4, 2017 | Pencoed Athletic Amateur(away) | 3-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Cambrian & Clydach(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 3, 2015 | Penybont(home) | 0-2 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 6, 2012 | Aberdare Town(home) | 0-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2017 | Llandudno Junction(away) | 4-0 | Welsh Cup |
| Nov 4, 2017 | STM Sports(home) | 2-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 7, 2017 | Cardiff Corinthians(away) | 3-0 | Welsh Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Pontypridd Town score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 5; Penydarren BGC score 3.0 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontypridd Town | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Penydarren BGC | 3.0 | 0.3 | 2 | 1/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
A question about Pontypridd Town vs Penydarren BGC?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy