Gardabani vs Kolkheti Khobi: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ameris Stadioni, Khelovnursapariani Moedani, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes Kolkheti Khobi the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gardabani. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gardabani vs Kolkheti Khobi?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Gardabani (1,120) and Kolkheti Khobi (1,199).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gardabani have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Kolkheti Khobi have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Didube 2014(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Irao(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | WIT Georgia(home) | 0-5 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Iberia 2010(home) | 1-5 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Varketili(home) | 1-3 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | WIT Georgia(home) | 3-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Varketili(away) | 0-4 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 2-3 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Gonio(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Saburtalo II(away) | 0-3 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Gardabani win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Kolkheti Khobi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi 2-1 Gardabani | Liga 3 |
| Nov 20, 2025 | Kolkheti Khobi 6-1 Gardabani | Liga 3 |
| Jun 16, 2025 | Gardabani 2-1 Kolkheti Khobi | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Kolkheti Khobi vs Gardabani on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gardabani score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kolkheti Khobi score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gardabani | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Kolkheti Khobi | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gardabani sit 13th in Liga 3 (13 points from 18 matches) and Kolkheti Khobi sit 12th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 37 | 20 |
| 13 | Gardabani | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gardabani vs Kolkheti Khobi?
- The Footlab model makes Kolkheti Khobi the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Gardabani.
- Where and when is Gardabani vs Kolkheti Khobi played?
- Gardabani vs Kolkheti Khobi is played on October 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ameris Stadioni, Khelovnursapariani Moedani, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.