Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Sport-kompleksi Shatili, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes Merani Tbilisi the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Iveria Khashuri. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Merani Tbilisi (1,267) and Iveria Khashuri (1,223).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Merani Tbilisi have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Iveria Khashuri have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Betlemi(away) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Guria(home) | 0-5 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Didube 2014(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Guria(away) | 1-6 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Irao(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II(home) | 2-5 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Gonio(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Saburtalo II(home) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 1-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Betlemi(home) | 5-4 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Merani Tbilisi win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Iveria Khashuri win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri 0-3 Merani Tbilisi | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Iveria Khashuri vs Merani Tbilisi on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Merani Tbilisi score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Iveria Khashuri score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merani Tbilisi | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Iveria Khashuri | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Merani Tbilisi sit 7th in Liga 3 (29 points from 18 matches) and Iveria Khashuri sit 14th (10 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Merani Tbilisi | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 29 |
| 14 | Iveria Khashuri | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 35 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri?
- The Footlab model makes Merani Tbilisi the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Iveria Khashuri.
- Where and when is Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri played?
- Merani Tbilisi vs Iveria Khashuri is played on October 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Sport-kompleksi Shatili, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.