Varketili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 23Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Varketili Stadium, Tbilisi
The Footlab model makes Varketili the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Dinamo Tbilisi II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Varketili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II?
Varketili starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,488 vs 1,313).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Varketili have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeats; Dinamo Tbilisi II have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Iberia 2010(away) | 0-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(home) | 4-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Margveti 2006(away) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Rustavi(home) | 0-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Aragvelebi(away) | 4-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Iveria Khashuri(away) | 5-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Iberia 2010(home) | 4-3 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Kolkheti Khobi(away) | 3-2 | Liga 3 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Spaeri(home) | 1-5 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Skuri(away) | 4-3 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Varketili win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Dinamo Tbilisi II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi II 1-2 Varketili | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Tbilisi II vs Varketili on Apr 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Varketili score 2.6 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Tbilisi II score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Varketili | 2.6 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Varketili sit 1st in Liga 3 (44 points from 18 matches) and Dinamo Tbilisi II sit 9th (27 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varketili | 18 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 45 | 9 | 44 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 30 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Varketili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II?
- The Footlab model makes Varketili the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Dinamo Tbilisi II.
- Where and when is Varketili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II played?
- Varketili vs Dinamo Tbilisi II is played on October 9, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Varketili Stadium, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.